The men get the day off on Tuesday, leaving the women to carry the day. Each match features a top four seed, meaning that we could get the top four ranked players in the world in the semifinals, which would be the first time that had happened on the women's side this decade.
CENTRE - SHOW COURT - 1.00 PM START
1. Dinara Safina (RUS) [1] 1 vs Sabine Lisicki (GER) 26
A perplexing battle between an underperformer and an overperformer. It's tough to say who will win, but based on who has been playing closer to their best, it would have to be Lisicki. I think Safina's difficulties on grass will finally catch up with her against the flat hitting, aggressive, courageous German, and she'll be the sole spoiler to the top four party in the semis.
Prediction: Lisicki in three.
2. Victoria Azarenka (BLR) [8] 97 vs Serena Williams (USA) [2] 128
This one could be quite the bloody affair. The two met in the fourth round of the Australian Open earlier this year, with Azarenka winning the first set then retiring midway through the second due to vertigo symptoms. It was a mess. Azarenka was a different type of mess in her fourth round win over Petrova yesterday, throwing a general tantrum the entire time yet still managing to power her way into her first Wimbledon quarterfinal. Serena, for her part, has looked great this entire tournament, but she hasn't faced anyone near Azarenka's caliber. This one could go into overtime.
Prediction: Williams in three.
COURT 1 - SHOW COURT - 1.00 PM START
1. Venus Williams (USA) [3] 33 vs Agnieszka Radwanska (POL) [11] 49
Serena got the opportunity to dismantle Radwanska in last year's Wimbledon quarterfinals, so it's only fair that Venus should get the chance to do so this year. Venus has been hitting the ball very cleanly, and Radwanska has no weapons that Venus won't be able to pound her way through.
Prediction: Williams in two.
2. Francesca Schiavone (ITA) 74 vs Elena Dementieva (RUS) [4] 96
Elena Dementieva's soft draw continues. Two veteran players, neither of whom was talked about much going into this tournament, face off for a spot in the semis, where they will undoubtedly lose meekly to the Serena-Azarenka winner. Dementieva's game is much more stable, and should hold up better to the pressures of the occasion.
Prediction: Dementieva in two.
Tuesday, June 30, 2009
Monday, June 29, 2009
They Left The Lights On For Him
I have my problems with Andy Murray, to be sure, but he does seem to embrace these big stages much more than Tim Henman ever did. During his 2-6, 6-3, 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 win over Stanislas Wawrinka, Murray emoted all The atmosphere indoors under the artificial lights was something Wimbledon had never before seen in its 132 years, for better or for worse. I like that the big matches won't have to be suspended due to darkness anymore, but I can't say I was enamored with the Astrodome-esque feel of the indoor grass court.
Though in terms of firing up the hometown fans in the papers the next morning, Murray's post match press conference leaves something to be desired...
Q. What are your emotions right now?Without the Nadal-Federer rematch to look forward to, the Murray run is one of the best storylines Wimbledon has going for it to be sure. Having the native son be the one to blaze uncharted territory into the night was the best organizers could have hoped for. The crowd loves him and he loves the Wimbledon crowds, and the new roof amplifies the noise fivefold.ANDY MURRAY: Uhm, well, obviously great to come through. Haven't thought about the match a whole lot. We made sure, you know, I warmed down properly, saw the physio and got as much food in me as possible.
And then, you know, organizing what I'm going to do tomorrow to, you know, make sure I recover as best as I can before the next round.
Juan Carlos Ferrero is the softest draw of the eight quarterfinalists, so Murray and the hometown crowd should have more to celebrate come Wednesday. Murray may need the help more than he thinks, as he is only 1-3 in his previous four grand slam quarterfinals. If he does get through, Friday against Andy Roddick or Lleyton Hewitt should be a real good time.
The Bump II
About twelve years after Irina Spirlea and Venus Williams made it cool, Sabine Lisicki and Caroline Wozniacki brought "The Bump" to a new generation of tennis. Wozniacki appeared greatly perturbed by the collision, but it's unlikely to have had much of an effect on the result, as it occured only a game from the end of Lisicki's 6-4, 6-4 win over the ninth-seeded Dane.
Have a look below at the biggest collision between a Dane and a German since the Second Schleswig War!
I think the British woman doing commentary sums it up best: "well that's, you know, handbags, isn't it, stuff, so, ha." Brilliant.
And for those of you still yearning for the mid-nineties when the only videos online were GIFs, The Bump II has been immortalized in that format too!
Out to Pasture Players Chew Up Grass
Not often a player loses the first two sets and then only drops five games the remainder of the match. That's exactly what Lleyton Hewitt did, however, in coming back to defeat #23 Radek Stepanek 4-6, 2-6, 6-1, 6-2, 6-2. It's Hewitt's first grand slam quarterfinal since the 2006 US Open, where he lost to Andy Roddick, also his opponent in the quarterfinal on Tuesday. Roddick defeated Hewitt two weeks ago at Queen's Club in straight sets, so it's a tough draw to be certain. Even if his run ends in the quarters, it's been a dream tournament for the 2002 Wimbledon Champion. Only Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic have dropped fewer sets thus far.
Even more surprising than Hewitt's run in my mind is the success of wild card Juan Carlos Ferrero. I was initially confused by the AELTC's decision to give the then #103-ranked Ferrero a wild card; he had made only one quarterfinal in his last twenty grand slam events, and he's not British. But the 2003 French Open champion's subsequent semifinal run at Queen's Club and his quarterfinal run here have proven their faith deserved. Just like Hewitt, Ferrero too faces his Queen's Club conqueror in the quarterfinals. Ferrero plays hometown hopeful Andy Murray for the second time in two weeks on Wednesday, and just like Hewitt, Ferrero will be given little shot to make the semis.
Even if both the oldies lose to the Andys, it's been a good week for the 29-and-over set. They may be ancient relics by tennis standards, but with the tennis they've produced they've electrified the grass, which is decidedly preferable to being buried under it.
Even more surprising than Hewitt's run in my mind is the success of wild card Juan Carlos Ferrero. I was initially confused by the AELTC's decision to give the then #103-ranked Ferrero a wild card; he had made only one quarterfinal in his last twenty grand slam events, and he's not British. But the 2003 French Open champion's subsequent semifinal run at Queen's Club and his quarterfinal run here have proven their faith deserved. Just like Hewitt, Ferrero too faces his Queen's Club conqueror in the quarterfinals. Ferrero plays hometown hopeful Andy Murray for the second time in two weeks on Wednesday, and just like Hewitt, Ferrero will be given little shot to make the semis.
Even if both the oldies lose to the Andys, it's been a good week for the 29-and-over set. They may be ancient relics by tennis standards, but with the tennis they've produced they've electrified the grass, which is decidedly preferable to being buried under it.
Sunday, June 28, 2009
The Best Day on the Tennis Calendar - Fourth Round Preview
The best ticket available in the world of tennis, the second Monday is one of two days on the tennis calendar where both the Gentlemen's and Ladies' draws converge on the dame day, the other being Super Saturday at the US Open. But while Super Saturday features only three matches and six players, the second Monday of Wimbledon features every Round of 16 match in both the men's and women's draw. Stars normally guaranteed a spot on one of the two main stadiums are relegated to outer courts, giving fans a chance to see big stars with just a grounds pass.
I made it out to Wimbledon on the second Monday last year, and with my grounds pass got to see Venus Williams, Serena Williams, Elena Dementieva, Arnaud Clement, Marin Cilic, Shahar Peer, and Dinara Safina, capping my day off by being one of the five or so on Henman Hill pulling for Richard Gasquet against Andy Murray. Quite the day for £14 (plus £3 or so for strawberries and cream).
Here's what's on tap for this year's best tennis day of the year:
I made it out to Wimbledon on the second Monday last year, and with my grounds pass got to see Venus Williams, Serena Williams, Elena Dementieva, Arnaud Clement, Marin Cilic, Shahar Peer, and Dinara Safina, capping my day off by being one of the five or so on Henman Hill pulling for Richard Gasquet against Andy Murray. Quite the day for £14 (plus £3 or so for strawberries and cream).
Here's what's on tap for this year's best tennis day of the year:
CENTRE - SHOW COURT - 1.00 PM START
1. Robin Soderling (SWE) [13] 113 vs Roger Federer (SUI) [2] 128
For a player whose big breakout tournament came on the terre battue, Robin Soderling's game is totally built for grass. Featuring power and more power, I expect him to smack a lot of winners past Federer in between moments of being thoroughly outclassed.
Prediction: Federer in four.
2. Dinara Safina (RUS) [1] 1 vs Amelie Mauresmo (FRA) [17] 9
The marquee matchup on the women's side today sees top Dinara Safina play on Centre court for the first time this tournament. She faces 2006 Champion Amelie Mauresmo, who always brings her best tennis (if not her strongest nerves) to the All-England Club. Safina has looked shaky at best through the first week of the tournament, while Mauresmo has looked calm and in control throughout. I like the Frenchwoman to blitz the hollow top-seed in two jarringly vicious sets.
Prediction: Mauresmo in two.
3. Andy Murray (GBR) [3] 33 vs Stanislas Wawrinka (SUI) [19] 41
The Brits have got to be loving the draw that has fallen at Andy Murray's feet through these first four rounds. And if he does make it through the fourth round, his quarterfinal opponent from the winner of Ferrero-Simon shouldn't prove too challenging either. Onward toward the semifinal he marches.
Prediction: Murray in three.
COURT 1 - SHOW COURT - 1.00 PM START
1. Venus Williams (USA) [3] 33 vs Ana Ivanovic (SRB) [13] 48
A rematch of the 2007 Wimbledon semifinal, this match will be a testament to just how far Ivanovic has fallen. Ivanovic played by far her best match of the year in beating Sam Stosur in the third round, a match that I can only explain by calling it a strange fluke. Ivanovic hasn't made a grand slam quarterfinal since she won the 2008 French Open, and there's no way that streak is ending against Venus Williams.
Prediction: Williams in 2.
2. Fernando Verdasco (ESP) [7] 97 vs Ivo Karlovic (CRO) [22] 105
As ugly and hard to watch as his game is, it's kind of refreshing to see Ivo Karlovic's serve blowing its way through the draw, taking down popular darkhorse J0-Wilfried Tsonga with it. Karlovic's game has a way of keeping players honest, and if his opponent doesn't play well he will lose, no matter how good he is (see also Federer Cincinnati 2008). Verdasco has been impressive thus far, but his mental struggles of yore are not completely behind him. I like Ivo to pull off the frustrating upset here, with a classic Verdasco breakdown left in the fifth.
Prediction: Karlovic in five.
3. Tomas Berdych (CZE) [20] 24 vs Andy Roddick (USA) [6] 32
This is the kind of matchup Andy Roddick loves to see in the middle of a slam. A mentally suspect player without a lot of variety, Tomas Berdych will hold serve a bunch, but is unlikely to pose any longterm threat.
Prediction: Roddick in three.
COURT 2 - SHOW COURT - 12.00 NOON START
1. Elena Vesnina (RUS) 86 vs Elena Dementieva (RUS) [4] 96
Probably the most under the radar of any of the sixteen women remaining, Elena Dementieva has quietly played some seriously ass-kicking tennis, earning a breadstick in each of her three matches so far. Vesnina is a nice draw, and a surprising fourth rounder on grass. Dementieva should get through easily, and make an impressive third quarterfinal at Wimbledon, despite it being on what should be her worst surface.
Prediction: Dementieva in two easy sets.
2. Daniela Hantuchova (SVK) 115 vs Serena Williams (USA) [2] 128
A rematch of their d-r-a-m-a filled fourth round match in 2007, this should be a pretty routine match for an in-shape, in-form Serena, neither of which she was in 2007. Good showing by Daniela to make it this far.
Prediction: Serena in two.
3. Lleyton Hewitt (AUS) 3 vs Radek Stepanek (CZE) [23] 9
One of the most consistently underrated players on the ATP Tour (probably due to his grave lack of charisma), Radek Stepanek has played great grasss court tennis before, and may very well surprise those who penciled Hewitt in to the quarters as soon as he beat Del Potro. This will be a tough loss for whoever comes out on the wrong end--it's a winnable match for both.
Prediction: Stepanek in four.
COURT 3 - SHOW COURT - 12.00 NOON START
1. Victoria Azarenka (BLR) [8] 97 vs Nadia Petrova (RUS) [10] 112
What should be a good match on paper should go to the Banshee of Belarus relatively easily, I would think. Azarenka has been steamrolling her way through the competition, and though she's had some underwhelming losses on big stages, I like her chances of crushing Petrova.
Prediction: Azarenka in two.
2. Dudi Sela (ISR) 85 vs Novak Djokovic (SRB) [4] 96
Novak Djokovic, like his opposite number Dementieva, largely flew under the radar through the first week. After a tough first rounder vs. capable grass courter Julien Benneteau, Djokovic looked very special in fending off a popular upset special from Mardy Fish. Dudi Sela is a fun player who has had a fun tournament, but it's largely the result of a soft draw, and reality should crash in vs. Djokovic.
Prediction: Djokovic in three.
3. Juan Carlos Ferrero (ESP) 53 vs Gilles Simon (FRA) [8] 64
A rare battle of lightweights late at Wimbledon, this match is a test of Ferrero's fitness as much as anything. And with his lack of runs in recent majors, I have to think that Ferrero won't be nearly as fresh as his younger opponent. Could be an underwhelming end to a nice run for Ferrero.
Prediction: Simon in four.
COURT 4 - SHOW COURT - 12.00 NOON START
1. Igor Andreev (RUS) [29] 72 vs Tommy Haas (GER) [24] 73
I'm at a loss for how Igor Andreev's game has been able to hold up this well on grass. With his big windmill forehand, I can't imagine it's an easy transition for him to the faster surface. Tommy Haas, on the other hand, has been playing some of the most solid tennis of his career, and should match up very well against Andreev.
Prediction: Haas in three.
2. Caroline Wozniacki (DEN) [9] 17 vs Sabine Lisicki (GER) 26
This is a tough match to get a read on. Wozniacki has had some strange losses at majors, making unseeded dreams come true so by crashing out to Dokic and Cirstea at the first two majors of the year. Lisicki has played some utterly fearless tennis so far, but she does it with a recklessness that makes me think the wheels will fall off without notice. So who knows.
Prediction: Lisicki in three.
COURT 18 - SHOW COURT - 12.00 NOON START
1. Agnieszka Radwanska (POL) [11] 49 vs Melanie Oudin (USA) 58
Melanie Oudin seems to feed off power and not deal very well with variety. Those two factors could conspire to make it a short day at the office for the perky American qualifier from Marietta, GA. Radwanska, for a player completely devoid of power, has had some very impressive grass results in her short career, including a quarterfinal at Wimbledon last year and the 2008 Eastbourne title.
Prediction: Radwanska in two.
2. Virginie Razzano (FRA) [26] 72 vs Francesca Schiavone (ITA) 74
A battle between two entertaining, scrappy players (if not necessarily cover girls), I go with Razzano, whose game seems more suited to grass than the quick yet relatively punchless Schiavone.
Prediction: Razzano in two.
1. Robin Soderling (SWE) [13] 113 vs Roger Federer (SUI) [2] 128
For a player whose big breakout tournament came on the terre battue, Robin Soderling's game is totally built for grass. Featuring power and more power, I expect him to smack a lot of winners past Federer in between moments of being thoroughly outclassed.
Prediction: Federer in four.
2. Dinara Safina (RUS) [1] 1 vs Amelie Mauresmo (FRA) [17] 9
The marquee matchup on the women's side today sees top Dinara Safina play on Centre court for the first time this tournament. She faces 2006 Champion Amelie Mauresmo, who always brings her best tennis (if not her strongest nerves) to the All-England Club. Safina has looked shaky at best through the first week of the tournament, while Mauresmo has looked calm and in control throughout. I like the Frenchwoman to blitz the hollow top-seed in two jarringly vicious sets.
Prediction: Mauresmo in two.
3. Andy Murray (GBR) [3] 33 vs Stanislas Wawrinka (SUI) [19] 41
The Brits have got to be loving the draw that has fallen at Andy Murray's feet through these first four rounds. And if he does make it through the fourth round, his quarterfinal opponent from the winner of Ferrero-Simon shouldn't prove too challenging either. Onward toward the semifinal he marches.
Prediction: Murray in three.
COURT 1 - SHOW COURT - 1.00 PM START
1. Venus Williams (USA) [3] 33 vs Ana Ivanovic (SRB) [13] 48
A rematch of the 2007 Wimbledon semifinal, this match will be a testament to just how far Ivanovic has fallen. Ivanovic played by far her best match of the year in beating Sam Stosur in the third round, a match that I can only explain by calling it a strange fluke. Ivanovic hasn't made a grand slam quarterfinal since she won the 2008 French Open, and there's no way that streak is ending against Venus Williams.
Prediction: Williams in 2.
2. Fernando Verdasco (ESP) [7] 97 vs Ivo Karlovic (CRO) [22] 105
As ugly and hard to watch as his game is, it's kind of refreshing to see Ivo Karlovic's serve blowing its way through the draw, taking down popular darkhorse J0-Wilfried Tsonga with it. Karlovic's game has a way of keeping players honest, and if his opponent doesn't play well he will lose, no matter how good he is (see also Federer Cincinnati 2008). Verdasco has been impressive thus far, but his mental struggles of yore are not completely behind him. I like Ivo to pull off the frustrating upset here, with a classic Verdasco breakdown left in the fifth.
Prediction: Karlovic in five.
3. Tomas Berdych (CZE) [20] 24 vs Andy Roddick (USA) [6] 32
This is the kind of matchup Andy Roddick loves to see in the middle of a slam. A mentally suspect player without a lot of variety, Tomas Berdych will hold serve a bunch, but is unlikely to pose any longterm threat.
Prediction: Roddick in three.
COURT 2 - SHOW COURT - 12.00 NOON START
1. Elena Vesnina (RUS) 86 vs Elena Dementieva (RUS) [4] 96
Probably the most under the radar of any of the sixteen women remaining, Elena Dementieva has quietly played some seriously ass-kicking tennis, earning a breadstick in each of her three matches so far. Vesnina is a nice draw, and a surprising fourth rounder on grass. Dementieva should get through easily, and make an impressive third quarterfinal at Wimbledon, despite it being on what should be her worst surface.
Prediction: Dementieva in two easy sets.
2. Daniela Hantuchova (SVK) 115 vs Serena Williams (USA) [2] 128
A rematch of their d-r-a-m-a filled fourth round match in 2007, this should be a pretty routine match for an in-shape, in-form Serena, neither of which she was in 2007. Good showing by Daniela to make it this far.
Prediction: Serena in two.
3. Lleyton Hewitt (AUS) 3 vs Radek Stepanek (CZE) [23] 9
One of the most consistently underrated players on the ATP Tour (probably due to his grave lack of charisma), Radek Stepanek has played great grasss court tennis before, and may very well surprise those who penciled Hewitt in to the quarters as soon as he beat Del Potro. This will be a tough loss for whoever comes out on the wrong end--it's a winnable match for both.
Prediction: Stepanek in four.
COURT 3 - SHOW COURT - 12.00 NOON START
1. Victoria Azarenka (BLR) [8] 97 vs Nadia Petrova (RUS) [10] 112
What should be a good match on paper should go to the Banshee of Belarus relatively easily, I would think. Azarenka has been steamrolling her way through the competition, and though she's had some underwhelming losses on big stages, I like her chances of crushing Petrova.
Prediction: Azarenka in two.
2. Dudi Sela (ISR) 85 vs Novak Djokovic (SRB) [4] 96
Novak Djokovic, like his opposite number Dementieva, largely flew under the radar through the first week. After a tough first rounder vs. capable grass courter Julien Benneteau, Djokovic looked very special in fending off a popular upset special from Mardy Fish. Dudi Sela is a fun player who has had a fun tournament, but it's largely the result of a soft draw, and reality should crash in vs. Djokovic.
Prediction: Djokovic in three.
3. Juan Carlos Ferrero (ESP) 53 vs Gilles Simon (FRA) [8] 64
A rare battle of lightweights late at Wimbledon, this match is a test of Ferrero's fitness as much as anything. And with his lack of runs in recent majors, I have to think that Ferrero won't be nearly as fresh as his younger opponent. Could be an underwhelming end to a nice run for Ferrero.
Prediction: Simon in four.
COURT 4 - SHOW COURT - 12.00 NOON START
1. Igor Andreev (RUS) [29] 72 vs Tommy Haas (GER) [24] 73
I'm at a loss for how Igor Andreev's game has been able to hold up this well on grass. With his big windmill forehand, I can't imagine it's an easy transition for him to the faster surface. Tommy Haas, on the other hand, has been playing some of the most solid tennis of his career, and should match up very well against Andreev.
Prediction: Haas in three.
2. Caroline Wozniacki (DEN) [9] 17 vs Sabine Lisicki (GER) 26
This is a tough match to get a read on. Wozniacki has had some strange losses at majors, making unseeded dreams come true so by crashing out to Dokic and Cirstea at the first two majors of the year. Lisicki has played some utterly fearless tennis so far, but she does it with a recklessness that makes me think the wheels will fall off without notice. So who knows.
Prediction: Lisicki in three.
COURT 18 - SHOW COURT - 12.00 NOON START
1. Agnieszka Radwanska (POL) [11] 49 vs Melanie Oudin (USA) 58
Melanie Oudin seems to feed off power and not deal very well with variety. Those two factors could conspire to make it a short day at the office for the perky American qualifier from Marietta, GA. Radwanska, for a player completely devoid of power, has had some very impressive grass results in her short career, including a quarterfinal at Wimbledon last year and the 2008 Eastbourne title.
Prediction: Radwanska in two.
2. Virginie Razzano (FRA) [26] 72 vs Francesca Schiavone (ITA) 74
A battle between two entertaining, scrappy players (if not necessarily cover girls), I go with Razzano, whose game seems more suited to grass than the quick yet relatively punchless Schiavone.
Prediction: Razzano in two.
Saturday, June 27, 2009
It's Her Party And She'll Cry If She Wants To
Today, Svetlana Kuznetsova celebrated her 24th birthday. Svetlana marked the occasion by giving an enormous gift to her opponent Sabine Lisicki, crashing out of the third round by the score of 6-2, 7-5, and allowing the young German to make the second week of a major for the first time.
As she is wont to do, the recent French Open Champion Kuznetsova played horrendously uncontrolled tennis at Wimbledon, regularly hitting shots that landed at the bottom of the net or feet wide of the doubles alley.
Kuznetsova has now lost to a player ranked below her at each of the last four Wimbledons. Even more embarrassingly, the two-time major champion has only registered one career victory over a seed at Wimbledon, an embarrassing 1-5 record.
To put that statistic in perspective, it's worth notingh that American qualifier Melanie Oudin today doubled Kuznetsova's number of career wins vs. seeds at Wimbledon by beating the #6 seed, freefalling Serb Jelena Jankovic. Oudin is in just her first Wimbledon, and is ranked well outside the top 100. Kuznetsova has played in the main draw of Wimbledon seven times, is ranked #5, and has been ranked as high as #2.
None too impressive, to say the least.
As she is wont to do, the recent French Open Champion Kuznetsova played horrendously uncontrolled tennis at Wimbledon, regularly hitting shots that landed at the bottom of the net or feet wide of the doubles alley.
Kuznetsova has now lost to a player ranked below her at each of the last four Wimbledons. Even more embarrassingly, the two-time major champion has only registered one career victory over a seed at Wimbledon, an embarrassing 1-5 record.
To put that statistic in perspective, it's worth notingh that American qualifier Melanie Oudin today doubled Kuznetsova's number of career wins vs. seeds at Wimbledon by beating the #6 seed, freefalling Serb Jelena Jankovic. Oudin is in just her first Wimbledon, and is ranked well outside the top 100. Kuznetsova has played in the main draw of Wimbledon seven times, is ranked #5, and has been ranked as high as #2.
None too impressive, to say the least.
Thursday, June 25, 2009
Steady as She Goes
The top fifteen seeds on the Ladies' side have all successfully advanced to the third round. Nineteen of the top twenty have as well, with only the #16 seed Zheng Jie, who made the semifinals last year, crashing out before the round of 32.
In sharp contrast to the success of the top tier, only two of the women seeded in the #21-32 range won their first two matches, with all but Virginie Razzano and Sorana Cirstea.
All this consistancy at the top means that there is only one match between two unseeded players in the third round, which is pretty unheard of at a slam. That unseeded match-up is none too shabby, pitting former Wimbledon quarterfinalists (and doubles partners) Daniela Hantuchova and Ai Sugiyama against one another, both players who prefer the grass
While it's made for a largely headlineless week (save #24 Maria Sharapova's exit receiving the attention of a major upset), the smooth sailing for the seeds means that more of the best players are still playing, which will hopefully make for the best possible rest of the tournament.
In sharp contrast to the success of the top tier, only two of the women seeded in the #21-32 range won their first two matches, with all but Virginie Razzano and Sorana Cirstea.
All this consistancy at the top means that there is only one match between two unseeded players in the third round, which is pretty unheard of at a slam. That unseeded match-up is none too shabby, pitting former Wimbledon quarterfinalists (and doubles partners) Daniela Hantuchova and Ai Sugiyama against one another, both players who prefer the grass
While it's made for a largely headlineless week (save #24 Maria Sharapova's exit receiving the attention of a major upset), the smooth sailing for the seeds means that more of the best players are still playing, which will hopefully make for the best possible rest of the tournament.
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Navratilova Broken At Love
Reports came out today that Martina Navratilova's second ex-wife, Toni Layton, is suing the nine-time Wimbledon singles champion for millions of dollars in palimony. The suit, which seeks the return of property Layton alleges the couple had agreed to divide, was clearly timed around Wimbledon in order to cause maximum embarrassment for Navratilova, who is working the event as a commentator.
Classless though it may seem, this type of tactic is hardly unprecedented when it comes to the divorces of high-profile athletes. Perhaps the most notable precedent is from 2003, when Martin Brodeur's wife filed for divorce during the Eastern Conference Finals. Navratilova's case is slightly different from Brodeur's, however, since there are no allegations that she was committing adultery with her sister-in-law...
Classless though it may seem, this type of tactic is hardly unprecedented when it comes to the divorces of high-profile athletes. Perhaps the most notable precedent is from 2003, when Martin Brodeur's wife filed for divorce during the Eastern Conference Finals. Navratilova's case is slightly different from Brodeur's, however, since there are no allegations that she was committing adultery with her sister-in-law...
Golden Girl Gone
The big news out of SW19 today came from Centre Court, where 2004 Wimbledon Ladies' Singles champion Maria Sharapova, the #24 seed, was knocked out of the tournament with a thud by Gisela Dulko of Argentina, currently ranked #45.
There was a fair amount of grumbling in some tennis circles about Sharapova being bumped from her current ranking of #60 to the #24 seed, with critics citing her ranking, her second round exit at last year's Wimbledon, and lack of a grass court title since 2005. I will agree that Sharapova's grass court p
Any objection to the bumping almost certainly is coming from longtime detractors of the polarizing Sharapova, of whom there are many with valid reasons. As someone who has managed to stay pretty neutral when it comes to the 2004 Wimbledon Champion, it seems obvious to me that seeding Sharapova was a correct and necessary move for the LTA to make.
As an aside, this loss makes it three years in a row now in which Sharapova has done better at the French Open than at Wimbledon, which is a bizarre statistic to be sure for the player who once described her clay prowess as that of a "cow on ice."
The lesson to cull from this loss may be that Sharapova is not the grass courter she was once made out to be. Her biggest results early on were on grass, to be sure, but fourteen of her nineteen career titles have come on hard courts, including eight of her last nine. She won the last last hard court slam she was healthy enough to play (Australian Open 2008), and has also won the US Open as well as the US Open Series.
Players' surface preferences have been known to shift over time, so Sharapova's evolution from grass courter to hard courter is hardly unprecedented. Andre Agassi also won his first major at Wimbledon, and only reached one Wimbledon final after that, winning six of his remaining seven major titles on hard courts.
Also worth noting is the absence of her oft-villainized father, Yuri Sharapov. Sharapova hasn't gone into great detail as to why he is no longer traveling with her, but it's safe to say that his absence certainly hasn't improved her results.
The US hardcourt swing has been where Sharapova has shone in recent years, and there's a fair amount of pressure on her to salvage her year in the coming months. The US Open does not adjust seeds, it uses the computer rankings directly. So if she's going to be seeded in the year's final grand slam, she'll have to earn it the old fashioned way.
There was a fair amount of grumbling in some tennis circles about Sharapova being bumped from her current ranking of #60 to the #24 seed, with critics citing her ranking, her second round exit at last year's Wimbledon, and lack of a grass court title since 2005. I will agree that Sharapova's grass court p
Any objection to the bumping almost certainly is coming from longtime detractors of the polarizing Sharapova, of whom there are many with valid reasons. As someone who has managed to stay pretty neutral when it comes to the 2004 Wimbledon Champion, it seems obvious to me that seeding Sharapova was a correct and necessary move for the LTA to make.
- All the other #21-#25 seeds lost in the first round. Seeds, especially lower ranked ones, lose all the time. Making her a seed just implies that she has a pretty good chance of winning, better than the other four people in her section. People expected her to beat Dulko, so nothing a miss there.
- Wimbledon rewards players with great results at Wimbledon, just as they did in 2004 bumping Serena Williams from the #10 ranking to the #1 seed. And before her second round lost last year, a loss almost certainly due to the injury that restricted Sharapova to only one more tournament in 2008, Sharapova had never lost before the second week of Wimbledon. She had lost to the eventual champion three years in a row, twice in the semifinals (Venus Williams and Amelie Mauresmo) and once in the fourth round to Venus Williams, whose low ranking was the cause of the premature collision.
- Had Sharapova not been injured for so long, her ranking would easily be within the top 32. She only was healthy enough to enter four tournaments since her last time at Wimbledon, and that includes Montreal, which she pulled out of after the first round due to her shoulder problems.
- Seeding Sharapova protects the big names. No one wants to see a matchup between Sharapova and Serena Williams happen in the first round when both players are good enough to go far. Seeding Sharapova kept her out of the stars' way at least for a couple rounds.
As an aside, this loss makes it three years in a row now in which Sharapova has done better at the French Open than at Wimbledon, which is a bizarre statistic to be sure for the player who once described her clay prowess as that of a "cow on ice."
The lesson to cull from this loss may be that Sharapova is not the grass courter she was once made out to be. Her biggest results early on were on grass, to be sure, but fourteen of her nineteen career titles have come on hard courts, including eight of her last nine. She won the last last hard court slam she was healthy enough to play (Australian Open 2008), and has also won the US Open as well as the US Open Series.
Players' surface preferences have been known to shift over time, so Sharapova's evolution from grass courter to hard courter is hardly unprecedented. Andre Agassi also won his first major at Wimbledon, and only reached one Wimbledon final after that, winning six of his remaining seven major titles on hard courts.
Also worth noting is the absence of her oft-villainized father, Yuri Sharapov. Sharapova hasn't gone into great detail as to why he is no longer traveling with her, but it's safe to say that his absence certainly hasn't improved her results.
The US hardcourt swing has been where Sharapova has shone in recent years, and there's a fair amount of pressure on her to salvage her year in the coming months. The US Open does not adjust seeds, it uses the computer rankings directly. So if she's going to be seeded in the year's final grand slam, she'll have to earn it the old fashioned way.
Tuesday, June 23, 2009
Warming Up And Cooling Off
The grass court season leading up to Wimbledon is a mere two weeks, far less surface preparation time than is afforded for any other grand slam. Because the window of preparation is so small, one would think that making the most of the warm-up tournaments on grass would be a direct indicator of success at SW19.
But in the opening round of Wimbledon, that theory has been completely toppled, as smaller titles on the turf heading in have created no significant tailwinds to speak of for the victors at the All-England Club. Rather, these champions have been apparently exhausted by the effort needed to secure the lesser prizes.
Here is how the seven winners of the seven warm-up tournaments havefailed fared in the opening round of Wimbledon:
ATP Eastbourne Champion Dmitry Tursunov (Seeded #25 at Wimbledon, lost to unseeded Mischa Zverev 6-4, 6-2, 3-0 ret.)
Perhaps more physically exhausted than mentally, Russian/Californian Dmitry Tursunov followed up his title at the first Eastbourne ATP tournament with a lethargic upset loss to German Mischa Zverev, a match Tursunov was unable to complete due to an ankle injury that had also surfaced in Eastbourne.
WTA Eastbourne Champion Caroline Wozniacki (Seeded #9 at Wimbledon, defeated unseeded wild card Kimiko Date Krumm 5-7, 6-3, 6-1)
For the first part of her first round match, eighteen-year old Dane Caroline Wozniacki looked nowhere near as fresh as an opponent two full decades her senior, Japan's Kimiko Date Krumm, who has recently returned to the tour at age thirty-eight. Wozniacki was eventually able to outmuscle Date Krumm, but not with anything near the ease that would be expected for a top ten player playing a rusty opponent ranked well outside the top 100.
ATP Halle Champion Tommy Haas (Seeded #24 at Wimbledon (though ranked #35), defeated unseeded Alexander Peya 6-7(5), 7-6(0), 6-3, 6-4)
Germany's Tommy Haas recovered well from losing the first set to Austrian Alexander Peya, defeating him in four sets. Haas' title in Halle was his first since February of 2007, and his current win streak of six is his longest since that same month.
WTA Birmingham Champion Magdalena Rybarikova (Unseeded at Wimbledon, lost to unseeded Roberta Vinci 6-3, 6-2)
Slovak Magdalena Rybarikova won her first career WTA title in Birmingham just over a week ago, so her having a letdown at Wimbledon is not an enormous surprise. What is surprising is how lopsided her defeat to Italy's Roberta Vinci was, given Vinci's general lack of success outside of clay courts.
ATP 's-Hertogenbosch Champion Benjamin Becker (Unseeded at Wimbledon, defeated Roko Karanusic 6-4, 6-4, 6-1)
Arguably the most impressive of the warm-up champions in his first round (faint praise) was Benjamin Becker (no relation to Boris). Becker, who is still best known for beating Andre Agassi at the 2006 US Open in what would be the last match of Agassi's career dispatched Croatian Roko Karanusic in straight sets. Becker was the only one of the seven 2009 grass champions not to drop a set in the first round of Wimbledon.
WTA 's-Hertogenbosch Champion Tamarine Tanasugarn (Unseeded at Wimbledon, lost to unseeded Arantxa Parra Santonja 6-4, 6-4)
Easily the WTA player most specialized toward grass court play, Thai Tamarine Tanasugarn shockingly crashed out of Wimbledon in the first round to the unheralded clay court specialist Arantxa Parra Santonja of Spain. Tanasugarn reached the quarterfinals of Wimbledon last year, losing to eventual champion Venus Williams. Failing to defend the points she earned in last year's tournament, Tanasugarn's ranking will plummet approximately 34 places after Wimbledon, from #47 to #81.
ATP Queen's Club London Champion Andy Murray (Seeded #3 at Wimbledon, defeated Robert Kendrick 7-5, 6-7(3), 6-3, 6-4)
The highest-ranked man to enter a grass court warm-up event, Scotsman Andy Murray struggled perhaps more than expected in his four-set win over seventy-sixth ranked American Robert Kendrick. Kendrick had previously pushed Rafael Nadal to five sets at Wimbledon in 2007, so the challenge wasn't completely unexpected. But it is safe to say, all the same, that Murray would have liked to have opened his Wimbledon campaign with a more convincing win in front of the throngs of Brits hanging their hopes on his shoulders.
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So what does the uninspiring 4-3 record of these grass court warm-up tournament champions say about the importance of preparation? All seven champions were facing a lower-ranked opponent, and all but one of them lost at least one set. Perhaps after the grueling and seemingly interminable clay court season, rest is just as valuable as reacclimation.
Last year's finalists on both the Gentlemen's and Ladies' sides demonstrate both schools of thought on Wimbledon preparation--Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer won Queen's Club and Halle respectively and met in the final, while the Ladies' final was contested by Venus and Serena Williams, both of whom skipped the pre-Wimbledon grass stretch as they have done most every year.
It could just be as simple as a gender difference--that the men recover more quickly than do the women, with the male champions going 3-1 in the first round (with Tursunov's injury bringing the only loss), while the women, especially those lower ranked ones with less experience following up titles, were more vulnerable to an early let down.
The impact of the warm-up events will likely be less and less as the fortnight continues, but for the opening few days, it's worth taking a gander at.
But in the opening round of Wimbledon, that theory has been completely toppled, as smaller titles on the turf heading in have created no significant tailwinds to speak of for the victors at the All-England Club. Rather, these champions have been apparently exhausted by the effort needed to secure the lesser prizes.
Here is how the seven winners of the seven warm-up tournaments have
ATP Eastbourne Champion Dmitry Tursunov (Seeded #25 at Wimbledon, lost to unseeded Mischa Zverev 6-4, 6-2, 3-0 ret.)
Perhaps more physically exhausted than mentally, Russian/Californian Dmitry Tursunov followed up his title at the first Eastbourne ATP tournament with a lethargic upset loss to German Mischa Zverev, a match Tursunov was unable to complete due to an ankle injury that had also surfaced in Eastbourne.
WTA Eastbourne Champion Caroline Wozniacki (Seeded #9 at Wimbledon, defeated unseeded wild card Kimiko Date Krumm 5-7, 6-3, 6-1)
For the first part of her first round match, eighteen-year old Dane Caroline Wozniacki looked nowhere near as fresh as an opponent two full decades her senior, Japan's Kimiko Date Krumm, who has recently returned to the tour at age thirty-eight. Wozniacki was eventually able to outmuscle Date Krumm, but not with anything near the ease that would be expected for a top ten player playing a rusty opponent ranked well outside the top 100.
ATP Halle Champion Tommy Haas (Seeded #24 at Wimbledon (though ranked #35), defeated unseeded Alexander Peya 6-7(5), 7-6(0), 6-3, 6-4)
Germany's Tommy Haas recovered well from losing the first set to Austrian Alexander Peya, defeating him in four sets. Haas' title in Halle was his first since February of 2007, and his current win streak of six is his longest since that same month.
WTA Birmingham Champion Magdalena Rybarikova (Unseeded at Wimbledon, lost to unseeded Roberta Vinci 6-3, 6-2)
Slovak Magdalena Rybarikova won her first career WTA title in Birmingham just over a week ago, so her having a letdown at Wimbledon is not an enormous surprise. What is surprising is how lopsided her defeat to Italy's Roberta Vinci was, given Vinci's general lack of success outside of clay courts.
ATP 's-Hertogenbosch Champion Benjamin Becker (Unseeded at Wimbledon, defeated Roko Karanusic 6-4, 6-4, 6-1)
Arguably the most impressive of the warm-up champions in his first round (faint praise) was Benjamin Becker (no relation to Boris). Becker, who is still best known for beating Andre Agassi at the 2006 US Open in what would be the last match of Agassi's career dispatched Croatian Roko Karanusic in straight sets. Becker was the only one of the seven 2009 grass champions not to drop a set in the first round of Wimbledon.
WTA 's-Hertogenbosch Champion Tamarine Tanasugarn (Unseeded at Wimbledon, lost to unseeded Arantxa Parra Santonja 6-4, 6-4)
Easily the WTA player most specialized toward grass court play, Thai Tamarine Tanasugarn shockingly crashed out of Wimbledon in the first round to the unheralded clay court specialist Arantxa Parra Santonja of Spain. Tanasugarn reached the quarterfinals of Wimbledon last year, losing to eventual champion Venus Williams. Failing to defend the points she earned in last year's tournament, Tanasugarn's ranking will plummet approximately 34 places after Wimbledon, from #47 to #81.
ATP Queen's Club London Champion Andy Murray (Seeded #3 at Wimbledon, defeated Robert Kendrick 7-5, 6-7(3), 6-3, 6-4)
The highest-ranked man to enter a grass court warm-up event, Scotsman Andy Murray struggled perhaps more than expected in his four-set win over seventy-sixth ranked American Robert Kendrick. Kendrick had previously pushed Rafael Nadal to five sets at Wimbledon in 2007, so the challenge wasn't completely unexpected. But it is safe to say, all the same, that Murray would have liked to have opened his Wimbledon campaign with a more convincing win in front of the throngs of Brits hanging their hopes on his shoulders.
---
So what does the uninspiring 4-3 record of these grass court warm-up tournament champions say about the importance of preparation? All seven champions were facing a lower-ranked opponent, and all but one of them lost at least one set. Perhaps after the grueling and seemingly interminable clay court season, rest is just as valuable as reacclimation.
Last year's finalists on both the Gentlemen's and Ladies' sides demonstrate both schools of thought on Wimbledon preparation--Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer won Queen's Club and Halle respectively and met in the final, while the Ladies' final was contested by Venus and Serena Williams, both of whom skipped the pre-Wimbledon grass stretch as they have done most every year.
It could just be as simple as a gender difference--that the men recover more quickly than do the women, with the male champions going 3-1 in the first round (with Tursunov's injury bringing the only loss), while the women, especially those lower ranked ones with less experience following up titles, were more vulnerable to an early let down.
The impact of the warm-up events will likely be less and less as the fortnight continues, but for the opening few days, it's worth taking a gander at.
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